Global Monitoring Center Report

The Battle for the Amazon: Law, Politics, and the Fight to Save the “Lungs of the Earth”

4/13/2025

In August 2019, as thousands of fires raged across the Amazon rainforest, daytime skies over São Paulo darkened with smoke. Images of the world’s largest rainforest in flames sparked international alarm. At an emergency G7 meeting, French President Emmanuel Macron condemned the burning Amazon as an “international crisis”​, urging global action to protect what he called the “lungs of our planet.” In Brasília, however, the reaction was defiant. Brazil’s then-president, Jair Bolsonaro, bristled at what he deemed foreign meddling. “This forest isn’t shared,” his spokesperson retorted. “It belongs to a nation which enjoys complete autonomy…to decide what happens to the forest”​. The showdown laid bare a thorny question: who is responsible for the Amazon’s fate?

For environmentalists and scientists, the answer seems obvious – everyone. United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres voiced the world’s concern, tweeting that he was “deeply concerned” by the Amazon fires and that “the Amazon must be protected”​. But for Brazil and the eight other countries that share the Amazon basin, assertions of sovereignty and economic necessity complicate any outside intervention. This tension – between global preservation interests and national politics – lies at the heart of the fight to save the Amazon. It is a conflict playing out on multiple fronts: in courtrooms and conferences, on remote jungle frontlines patrolled by Indigenous guardians, and in high-stakes diplomatic debates. What emerges is a story as vast and complex as the Amazon itself, implicating international law, environmental policy, human rights, and the future of a critical ecosystem.

The Lungs of the Earth: Why the Amazon Matters

The Amazon rainforest sprawls across nine South American countries and covers an area roughly the size of the continental United States. Often dubbed the “lungs of the Earth,” this immense forest has been said to produce about 20% of the world’s oxygen and serves as a massive carbon sink​. While scientists note the “lungs” analogy is imperfect – a mature forest consumes nearly as much oxygen as it produces – the Amazon’s role in regulating the planet’s atmosphere is indisputable. “Tropical forests such as the Amazon play a crucial role in climate regulation, “experts stress, by absorbing carbon dioxide and stabilizing weather patterns​. With an estimated 100 billion tons of carbon stored in its trees, the Amazon helps keep about 400 billion tons of CO₂ out of the atmosphere​. If that carbon were released, it would accelerate global warming dramatically.

The Amazon’s importance extends far beyond carbon. This rainforest is a living library of life on Earth, home to at least 10% of the world’s known species – by some estimates, up to a quarter of global biodiversity​. Thousands of tree species tower in its canopy, and its tangled understory teems with wildlife ranging from jaguars to brilliantly plumed macaws. Many species are found nowhere else. “The Amazon rainforest is biologically the richest region on Earth, “harboring a dazzling array of primates, birds, insects, and plants​. This biodiversity isn’t just abstract numbers; it underpins medicines, foods, and ecosystem services that millions of people rely on.

Crucially, the Amazon is also a hydrological engine. Its trees release moisture that generates vast “flying rivers” of vapor, driving rainfall across South America. The forest effectively makes its own weather, pumping water into the atmosphere that later falls as rain on farmers’ fields far from the forest’s edge. As Guterres warned in 2019, ongoing deforestation threatens to “deny rain to farmers hundreds of miles away in Brazil’s agricultural heartland”​. In this way, the Amazon’s health is intertwined with food and water security well beyond its boundaries.

Scientists fear that if too much of the Amazon is lost, these cycles will unravel. The rainforest could reach a “tipping point” where it can no longer sustain itself. At that threshold, the Amazon would irreversibly degrade into a drier savanna-like ecosystem – a nightmare scenario that would release gigatons of carbon and wipe out countless species. Recent studies have raised alarms that this point may be fast approaching. Signs of ecological stress are evident in more than 75% of the forest, as its resilience to drought and fire declines​. “The loss of biodiversity would represent a tidal wave in the rate of species extinctions, while the planet would lose a vital climate regulation mechanism,” cautions Professor Richard Betts of the U.K. Met Office​. Deforestation and climate change, he notes, could push the Amazon into an unprecedented dieback. In short, what happens in the Amazon will be felt everywhere – through rising global temperatures, intensified climate extremes, and the irreplaceable loss of life.

Sovereignty vs. Stewardship: A Political and Legal Battleground

The Amazon’s global importance has prompted calls for international responsibility – and pushback from the nations that govern it. About 60% of the Amazon lies within Brazil, with substantial portions in Peru, Colombia, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Guyana, and Suriname. For these sovereign states, the rainforest is not an abstract global commons but a source of national pride and economic potential, as well as a home for their citizens. Balancing development aspirations with conservation is a perennial challenge, and one often colored by politics.

Under President Jair Bolsonaro (2019–2022), Brazil dramatically rolled back environmental protections, arguing that the Amazon’s resources should be harnessed for economic growth. Bolsonaro’s government slashed funding for federal environmental agencies and weakened enforcement, while signaling support for loggers, miners, and agribusiness expansion. Deforestation soared to its highest levels in over a decade. When confronted with international criticism – such as Europe’s alarm over the 2019 fires – Bolsonaro doubled down on a sovereignty-first stance. Foreign offers of aid, like a $20 million G7 firefighting fund, were brusquely rejected. He insisted Brazil alone would manage the Amazon and told “foreigners to mind their own business”, bristling at what he called neo-colonial interference​.

This clash came to a head in the war of words between Macron and Bolsonaro. After Macron’s “international crisis” remark, Bolsonaro and his allies accused the French leader of disrespecting Brazil’s sovereignty. One Brazilian official even invoked nationalism with a personal jab at Macron’s motives, and a Bolsonaro spokesperson declared that Brazil would “take every possible care to preserve” the Amazon but on its own terms​. The message was clear: the Amazon, for Brazil, is a matter of national sovereignty.

Yet, other voices in Brazil and the region argue that sovereignty comes with responsibility. In 2018, Colombia’s Supreme Court took the remarkable step of recognizing the Colombian Amazon as a legal entity with certain rights, in response to a lawsuit by 25 young people concerned about climate change. The court ruled that the Colombian government must honor its Paris Agreement pledges and halt deforestation – effectively treating the Amazon’s protection as part of citizens’ constitutional rights to a healthy environment​. This precedent echoed a growing movement in Latin America to grant “rights of nature” to ecosystems and leverage the courts to force governments into action on climate commitments.

Within Brazil, too, the judiciary has intervened. In July 2022, Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court issued a landmark decision in the “Climate Fund” case, declaring that the federal government violated its constitutional duty by failing to curb deforestation​. Citing Brazil’s own constitution and its international climate obligations, the court ordered the government to reactivate a stalled fund for Amazon protection and fulfill its commitments under the Paris Climate Agreement​. By 10 votes to 1, the justices affirmed that protecting the Amazon is not optional – it’s a binding duty owed to both Brazilians and the global community​. This was hailed as “one of the most important environmental and climate litigation cases” in Brazil’s history​, underscoring that even within a sovereign nation, there are legal checks on policies that threaten an ecosystem of planetary significance.

Such legal victories remain fragile, but they signal a shift: courts and citizens are increasingly treating environmental destruction as a matter of justice. In 2024, in a first-of-its-kind “climate crime” civil case, a Brazilian rancher was ordered to pay $50 million in damages for illegally clearing 5,600 hectares of Amazon forest​. A federal judge froze the rancher’s assets, reasoning that he must compensate for the harm caused to the climate and forest​. It is the largest climate-related penalty ever imposed in Brazil – “the start of a legal push to repair and deter damage to the rainforest,” as prosecutors described it​. The case, brought by Brazil’s environmental agency and attorney general, effectively put a price tag on ecocide. By making an example of a single wealthy rancher, Brazil’s judiciary sent a broader message: those who destroy the Amazon can be held to account.

On the international stage, debates simmer over how far the world can or should go to compel Amazon protection. Major environmental treaties – like the Paris Agreement on climate change (2015) and the Convention on Biological Diversity – oblige countries to safeguard forests and biodiversity. But these rely on national implementation and have few enforcement teeth. Frustrated by years of insufficient action, environmental advocates are pursuing new avenues. One is the emerging campaign to establish “ecocide” as an international crime. Proponents want to amend the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court (ICC) – which prosecutes genocide and crimes against humanity – to include mass environmental destruction. “Once you introduce a criminal element, you start seeing changes in behaviour,” says Jojo Mehta, who leads Stop Ecocide International​. The idea is to hold top officials and corporate executives personally liable for severe rainforest destruction, much as they would be for war crimes​.

It’s an ambitious goal, and not everyone is convinced it will become reality. “The likelihood of anyone ever ending up in the dock at the ICC facing ecocide charges is so remote,” cautions Kevin Heller, a professor of international law who has worked with the ICC​. Amending the ICC treaty requires overwhelming global consensus, which is far from assured. Nevertheless, even the push for an ecocide law may have a “catalysing impact at a national level” by inspiring countries to criminalize environmental destruction in their own laws​. Indeed, a few nations – including Ecuador and France – have already defined ecocide as a crime domestically​. Ecuador, whose share of the Amazon has seen severe oil drilling impacts, in 2008 enshrined the rights of nature in its constitution and banned environmental destruction. These legal developments suggest a growing willingness to treat the Amazon’s preservation as a universal value transcending borders.

The Amazon’s Protectors: Indigenous Rights and Humanitarian Stakes

While diplomats and judges argue in halls of power, on the ground in the Amazon the struggle for protection is visceral – and often dangerous. The rainforest is not an uninhabited wilderness; it is home to over 30 million people, including hundreds of Indigenous nations who have lived in and stewarded the forest for millennia. For these communities, defending the Amazon is a matter of survival, identity, and human rights.

Indigenous territories have repeatedly been shown to be the strongest bulwarks against deforestation. Where Indigenous peoples’ land rights are recognized and enforced, forests tend to thrive. “Protecting the human rights of Indigenous peoples is key to preventing further deforestation in the Amazon,” Amnesty International emphasized in a 2019 report​. In Brazil, the Constitution acknowledges Indigenous peoples’ “original rights” to their ancestral lands, and nearly a quarter of the Brazilian Amazon is under some form of Indigenous protection​. These areas are often the best-preserved, acting as core sanctuaries within the broader forest. Enforcing those land rights, Amnesty noted, not only safeguards Indigenous communities but also “helps the climate stay cool for the benefit of every living being”​.

Yet, under pressure from logging, mining, and ranching interests, Indigenous lands have been invaded at alarming rates – sometimes violently. Across the Amazon, Indigenous activists and environmental defenders face intimidation, criminalization, and murder. A recent analysis by Global Witness found the Amazon to be “one of the most dangerous places in the world to be a defender,” with 39 land defenders killed in the region in a single year​. In Brazil alone, 34 environmental defenders were killed in 2022, the vast majority of them Indigenous people or local activists​. These are not isolated tragedies but part of a pattern of violence associated with land grabs and illegal resource extraction. Too often, the perpetrators – whether criminal loggers, militias, or hired gunmen – operate with impunity amid weak law enforcement in remote areas.

One of the most haunting examples was the murder of Paulo Paulino Guajajara, a young Indigenous land defender, in November 2019. Paulo Paulino was a member of the “Guardians of the Forest,” an Indigenous patrol formed to physically expel illegal loggers from the Araribóia reserve in Brazil’s Maranhão state. He and a companion were ambushed by loggers on their territory; Paulo Paulino was shot and killed, and his colleague wounded​. His death sent shockwaves through Brazil, especially coming on the heels of Bolsonaro’s policies that emboldened land invaders. The Guardians of the Forest had been carrying out armed nighttime patrols without government support – a testament to their courage, but also a symptom of state failure to protect its own citizens. “Their work bothers those that want to loot their territory,” a local Indigenous leader said after the killing, warning that without stronger action, more lives would be lost​.

Despite the risks, Indigenous forest guardians persist in defending the Amazon. On a humid night in the Araribóia reserve, a Reuters team watched as six Guajajara men with faces painted for war readied an ambush for illegal loggers on a lonely dirt road​. “The police are not coming, but the natives have a plan to fight back,” the report noted dryly​. Since the Guajajara formed their self-defense force in 2012, they estimate illegal incursions into their land have fallen significantly​. One guardian, Laércio Guajajara, explained why they refuse to stand down. “We’re showing the world, the country, that our land isn’t lost, that it has an owner,” he said​. His message to outsiders and Brazilians alike is that these forests are not empty frontiers – they are homeland. In the Guajajaras’ view, defending the Amazon is an exercise of their rights as much as an environmental cause.

Indigenous leaders have increasingly taken their fight to the international arena. Amazonian representatives appear at U.N. climate summits and human rights forums, often wearing traditional dress amid the suits, to demand global support. They remind world leaders that human rights and environmental health are inseparable in the Amazon. The land provides their food, medicine, and culture; its destruction is their dispossession. And when Indigenous people are killed or displaced, it is not only a humanitarian tragedy but also a loss for conservation – for no one knows the forest’s rhythms better than its original inhabitants. As Tuntiak Katan, an Indigenous leader from Ecuador, told the U.N., “We are the guardians, not only for our people, but for everyone’s future.” His words encapsulate a pro-Amazon perspective gaining prominence: saving the rainforest is both a moral imperative and a collective lifeline.

Case Studies: Flashpoints and Turning Points

The struggle over the Amazon has seen bitter conflicts – but also inspiring victories. A look at a few flashpoints reveals the challenges and glimmers of hope in this high-stakes campaign.

  • Brazil’s Pendulum Swing: Nowhere have policies shifted more sharply than in Brazil, which holds the largest share of the Amazon. In the early 2000s, Brazil was a conservation success story. The government launched an aggressive crackdown on illegal logging around 2004, expanded protected areas, and recognized new Indigenous territories. In just eight years, Brazil slashed annual deforestation by roughly 75%​. This triumph of environmental governance prevented billions of tons of carbon emissions and proved that political will and strong enforcement can curb even rampant deforestation. However, the gains were tenuous. Economic pressures and political changes saw deforestation creep up again in the mid-2010s, then skyrocket under Bolsonaro’s presidency. By 2021, destruction had returned to alarming levels, sparking global anxiety that the Amazon tipping point might be near.

    A major turning point came with Brazil’s 2022 election. Bolsonaro was defeated by Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva, the leftist former president who had overseen the mid-2000s conservation gains. Lula campaigned on a promise to save the Amazon and quickly moved to reverse his predecessor’s policies. In early 2023, Lula’s administration restored the authority of IBAMA (Brazil’s environmental enforcement agency), relaunched the Amazon Fund with international support, and sent thousands of troops and agents to crack down on illegal miners and loggers. The impact was dramatic: deforestation in Brazil’s Amazon plummeted by approximately 60% in the first year of Lula’s term​. At the U.N. General Assembly in September 2023, Lula declared, “Brazil is back” in the fight against climate change, touting the sharp drop in forest loss as proof of renewed commitment​. However, Lula faces his own tests balancing development – he has advanced plans for an Amazon highway and oil drilling that worry experts​. The political winds can shift quickly, and many Brazilians remain vigilant to ensure the “new Amazon dream” Lula promised – a vision of sustainable growth with the forest standing​ – does not falter.

  • The 2023 Amazon Summit: In August 2023, for the first time in 14 years, leaders of the Amazonian nations convened to forge a united front on saving the rainforest. Hosted by Lula in Belém, Brazil, the Amazon Cooperation Treaty Organization (ACTO) summit aimed to coordinate regional policies. “The rainforest is neither a void that needs occupying nor a treasure trove to be looted,” Lula proclaimed at the meeting, urging a new era of cooperation to end “centuries of plundering” in the Amazon​. The eight countries did agree on creating an alliance to combat deforestation and crimes like illegal mining​. But on the most critical issue – setting a firm deadline to end deforestation – the nations could not reach consensus​. Brazil, Colombia, and others had endorsed a 2030 zero-deforestation goal, aligning with a pledge already made by over 100 countries in Glasgow in 2021. Bolivia and Venezuela, however, balked and refused to commit​. The divide underscored the larger global difficulty of uniting behind bold climate action. “The planet is melting…It is not possible that eight Amazonian countries are unable to put in a statement – in large letters – that deforestation needs to be zero,” lamented Marcio Astrini of Brazil’s Climate Observatory, an environmental group, as the summit ended without a clear target​. Still, observers noted that simply getting all the Amazon nations to acknowledge the crisis and vow cooperation was progress. The ACTO summit produced a broad declaration that the Amazon must be saved, but left each country to chart its own path toward that end​. It highlighted both the potential and the limits of regional solidarity in protecting a rainforest that knows no political borders.

  • International Pressure and Policy: Outside of South America, foreign governments have started wielding economic levers to protect the Amazon – raising debates about fairness and efficacy. In 2022, the European Union approved a landmark law banning the import of commodities linked to deforestation, such as beef, soy, palm oil, and timber. The law is designed to choke off the market for goods produced by razing tropical forests, including the Amazon​. European officials hailed it as a concrete step to stop “importing deforestation.” But Brazil’s response was icy. In 2024, even under the pro-climate Lula government, Brazil formally asked the EU to delay and revise the regulation. A government letter complained the law was “unilateral and punitive,” ignoring Brazil’s own efforts and potentially harming its economy​. Indeed, Brazil estimated up to $15 billion of its exports could be affected​. Other Amazon countries echoed this concern in a joint statement, criticizing the “proliferation” of environmental trade rules as disguised protectionism​. This conflict encapsulates a tricky issue: wealthy nations want to condition trade on forest protection, effectively extending their environmental policies beyond their borders. Producer countries, even those committed to conservation, resent what they perceive as heavy-handed measures that “discriminate against countries with forest resources”​. The resolution of this friction will shape the economics of Amazon protection. Without creating viable, forest-friendly livelihoods for the tens of millions who live in the Amazon, conservation will remain a hard sell. Finding that balance – possibly through international funding, carbon credits, or sustainable industries – is an ongoing challenge.

  • Ecuador’s Yasuní Referendum: One of the most inspiring recent developments came not from a courtroom or congress, but directly from citizens. In August 2023, Ecuadorians voted in a historic referendum to halt oil drilling in Yasuní National Park, a biodiverse Amazonian enclave that indigenous Waorani people call home. By a nearly 20-point margin, voters chose to keep over 700 million barrels of oil in the ground in Yasuní, despite the potential loss of billions in revenues​. This bold decision – effectively leaving a valuable resource untouched for the sake of the environment – was the first of its kind in the world. It followed years of grassroots campaigning led by Indigenous activists and environmental groups, who framed the choice as one between short-term profit and the long-term survival of a unique ecosystem. “Yasuní isn’t just any park,” one campaigner reminded voters, pointing to its record-setting biodiversity and the presence of two of the planet’s last uncontacted tribes living in isolation. The successful “Yes” vote in the referendum means those tribes, the Tagaeri and Taromenane, will have a better chance at continued isolation and preservation of their way of life​.

    Ecuador’s referendum was a watershed moment for climate democracy. It came at a time when the climate crisis is intensifying, and scientists warn the Amazon is approaching irreversibility​. By directly linking policy to a popular vote, Ecuador set a precedent that environmental protection can be a mandate from the people. International observers hailed it as a potential “game-changer” – proof that electorates, when asked, will choose conservation over extraction. Of course, implementing the result has challenges: Ecuador must wind down existing oil operations in Yasuní’s Block 43 and find alternative income for its budget. And there are political pressures to contend with; soon after the vote, some oil interests pushed back, and the newly elected government showed ambivalence about fully honoring the outcome​.Still, the Yasuní vote stands as a rare victory where nature and indigenous rights triumphed at the ballot box. It offers a hopeful example that even in oil-dependent economies, public consciousness of the Amazon’s value can tip the scales toward protection.

Toward a New Pact for the Planet’s Greatest Rainforest

The fate of the Amazon rainforest stands at a crossroads, with peril and promise in equal measure. On one hand, the trends of recent decades are sobering. Roughly 17% of the Amazon has already been lost in the last half-century, and an additional chunk is degraded​. Climate change, once a distant threat, is now palpably exacerbating droughts and fires in the region, compounding the damage from chainsaws and bulldozers. The violent harassment of forest defenders continues in too many places, and powerful interests still profit from the status quo of destruction. The “orgy of destruction” that U.N. chief Guterres decried globally is nowhere more evident than here​. If the Amazon were to collapse, it would be a catastrophe for the planet – a point of no return for climate and a scar on humanity’s conscience.

On the other hand, a counternarrative is emerging – one of resistance, innovation, and unprecedented collaboration. The past few years have seen a surge of awareness and activism reminiscent of the save-the-rainforest campaigns of the 1980s, but now backed by legal rigor and global consensus on climate urgency. Major powers and international courts are, however slowly, recognizing that environmental harm crosses borders and legal boundaries. In 2023, the United Nations General Assembly took the extraordinary step of asking the International Court of Justice (ICJ) for an advisory opinion on countries’ obligations to combat climate change. This move, hailed as a milestone for climate justice, explicitly seeks clarity on the legal consequences for nations that cause environmental harm affecting other states and future generations​. While not Amazon-specific, an ICJ opinion could affirm principles – like the duty to prevent significant transboundary environmental damage – that bolster the case for protecting great rainforests under international law. As the representative of the Seychelles put it, the ICJ process will shine a spotlight on “the obligation of States to ensure that all countries have a right to a healthy and sustainable environment”​. Such an affirmation would strengthen the hand of those pressuring Amazon countries to uphold that right.

Meanwhile, alliances are forming across traditional divides. Environmentalists are working with economists to devise schemes that make the living forest worth more than a dead one – from carbon credit markets that pay Amazonian communities to keep trees standing, to sustainable harvesting of rainforest products (like açaí, Brazil nuts, and natural rubber) that can provide income without land clearing. There is growing talk of a global Amazon protection fund that would pool contributions from many nations to compensate Amazonian countries for conservation efforts – expanding on the Amazon Fund model that has seen countries like Norway and Germany pay into Brazil’s forest protection. Such ideas recognize an underlying truth: expecting a few countries to bear the entire opportunity cost of preserving a global climate regulator is neither fair nor realistic. Global problems require global solutions, and saving the Amazon may well demand a new kind of international pact, one that marries development and conservation.

The Amazon’s story is still being written. In a remote Indigenous village, a young activist might be picking up the mantle of Chico Mendes – the famed rubber-tapper unionist murdered in 1988 for opposing deforestation – and inspiring her community to defend their trees. In a Brasília office, a prosecutor pieces together a case against a mining company dumping mercury in a rainforest river. In Geneva and New York, diplomats hash out language for a possible treaty on protecting climate “common goods,” and perhaps debate whether the Amazon should be recognized as a World Heritage site of humanity. And in research labs from Manaus to California, scientists are racing to better understand the Amazon’s shifting dynamics, providing the data that policymakers and courts increasingly rely on. There is a sense, in many of these quarters, that time is running out, but not yet gone.

What gives hope is the broadening coalition invested in the Amazon’s survival. It now includes not only environmental NGOs and Indigenous groups, but also generals in war rooms planning for climate security, financiers worried about the stability of economies, public health experts tracking pandemics (the Amazon, after all, can unleash viruses if disrupted), and ordinary citizens around the world who realize that the climate future of their children is entwined with the fate of a distant rainforest. An Amazon in flames, it turns out, makes the whole world gasp.

In the blend of investigative, analytical, and narrative threads that form this story, one theme stands out: the protection of the Amazon is as much a human saga as it is an environmental one. It is about ethics and rights, law and politics, survival and legacy. The rainforest’s immense trees and rivers cannot speak for themselves, so people must speak and act on their behalf. As the “forest guardian” Laércio Guajajara asserted, this land has an owner – he meant his tribe, but in a larger sense, the owners are all of us, the living and even the unborn, who have a stake in Earth’s ecological inheritance.

Saving the Amazon will require bridging the local and the global, reconciling sovereignty with stewardship. It will require honoring those on the front lines and holding accountable those who exploit with impunity. It means crafting policies that address immediate human needs without sacrificing long-term planetary health. The task is daunting, the timelines urgent, and the politics fraught. But as many who have battled for the Amazon would say, giving up is not an option. There is simply too much at stake – for Brazil, for the region, and for a world that breathes with the Amazon’s every exhalation.